Evidence is growing that more borrowers will be approved for a mortgage without increasing risk to lenders through more sophisticated credit risk scoring that uses alternative data, such as unsecured credit and property history in consumer credit report analysis, according to a new report by the CEB TowerGroup.
“Traditional credit data and analytics continue to be relevant, but are not sufficient to satisfy the consumer credit reformation of today,” says the CEB TowerGroup’s senior research director, Craig Focardi. (More …)
Updates from November, 2012
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(MCT)—Good credit is important, especially when you’re looking to buy a house. Mortgage lenders have to know whether you’re able to repay the debt, and have to determine through your credit history if you’re willing to pay, as well.
They use credit scores to determine, statistically, how much of a loan you can afford, whether to approve it, and the interest rate. The scores are obtained from the three major credit bureaus: Equifax, Experian, and Trans Union.
The most common credit score issued is the FICO, named for Fair Isaac Co., which developed the mathematical formula. Rankings are from 300 to 950: The higher the number, the lower the loan-default risk. Print This Post
The use of mortgage financing in the housing market jumped sharply in the month of August, but the use of FHA financing declined, suggesting the government program is losing favor and private lenders are gaining market share.
“Conventional mortgages are making a comeback while FHA mortgages are not,” commented Thomas Popik, research director for Campbell Surveys. “Reasons for the growth in conventional mortgages include low rates, increased underwriting of high LTV mortgages by private mortgage insurers, and a price structure including insurance premiums that is cheaper than the FHA alternative.”
Mortgages were used to finance 68.9 percent of home purchase transactions in August, up from 67.5 percent in July. Significantly, not all mortgage financing products saw the same gains in market share. FHA-financed transactions rose only slightly from 25.5 percent in July to 25.9 percent in August. Back in January, FHA transactions accounted for 27.3 percent of all home purchase transactions.
Ellie Mae reported last week that the FHA share of mortgage originations has declined from 25 percent in May to 21 percent in August. During the same period, conventional mortgages increased their sales from 65 to 70 percent of all new mortgages. Purchase mortgages increased from 44 to 47 percent.
Real estate agents responding to the latest HousingPulse survey indicated mortgage availability has improved over the summer months, especially for homebuyers with less than 20 percent cash down payments. “Mortgages for homebuyers with less than 20 percent down were available more than in previous months,” commented an agent from California. “Contrary to media reports, there is no shortage of mortgage money available for buyers with down payments less than 20 percent,” reported an agent in Texas.
Real estate agents also commented on historically low interest rates. “Amazing rates – less expensive to pay mortgage per month than to rent. Unbelievable opportunity and buyers know it,” exclaimed an agent in California. “The money is almost free, with 3.785 percent being about average for a 30 year fixed-rate mortgage with 3.5 percent down,” contributed an agent in Washington State.
The National Association of REALTORS® is continuing its battle for greater access to credit. Last week NAR’s president Moe Veissi urged Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke to weigh in on three key rule proposals—the Qualified Mortgage (QM), the Qualified Residential Mortgage (QRM), and the Basel III capital standards—that Veissi said are both putting a chill on lending and have the potential tighten credit further. All three individually and certainly together have the potential to tighten credit.
For more information, visit http://www.realestateeconomywatch.com Print This Post
WASHINGTON (September 17, 2012) – New survey findings, combined with an analysis of historic credit scores and loan performance, show home sales could be notably higher by returning to reasonably safe and sound lending standards, which also would create new jobs, according to the National Association of Realtors®.
Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said there would be enormous benefits to the U.S. economy if mortgage lending conditions return to normal. “Sensible lending standards would permit 500,000 to 700,000 additional home sales in the coming year,” he said. “The economic activity created through these additional home sales would add 250,000 to 350,000 jobs in related trades and services almost immediately, and without a cost impact.” Print This Post
by The KCM Crew on September 20, 2012
The most recent monthly Foreclosure Market Report from RealtyTracwas released last week. It confirmed what we have been stating for the last several months – foreclosures are increasing in states with a judicial process (especially in the Northeast) while at the same time are decreasing in non-judicial states. As stated in the report:
“Foreclosure activity in the 24 non-judicial states (such as Arizona, California, Nevada and Georgia) and District of Columbia combined decreased 31 percent annually. Twenty states registered year-over-year increases in foreclosure activity, led by judicial foreclosure states such as New Jersey, New York, Maryland, Illinois and Pennsylvania.” Print This Post
The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) told Congress recently that proposed mortgage lending reforms under the Dodd-Frank Act must be imposed in a manner that causes minimum disruption to the mortgage markets while ensuring consumer protections.
Testifying before the House Financial Services Subcommittee on Financial Institutions and Consumer Credit, NAHB First Vice Chairman Rick Judson, a home builder from Charlotte, N.C., said that “NAHB believes a housing finance system that provides adequate and reliable credit to home buyers at reasonable interest rates through all business conditions is critical to our nation’s economic health.” Print This Post
by Dean Hartman on May 24, 2012
I’ve been told that 29% of all contracts signed never make it to the closing table- that nearly 3 in 10 transactions where a buyer and seller have come to terms (no easy feat in this market) fall apart. In a more normal market, I would say 90% of deals close. So, I figured if I could point out some of the reasons deals are crumbling, maybe those putting them together could prevent some of the challenges.
1. Short Sales – In theory, they sound terrific because the buyer can low-ball an offer. They get little resistance from the seller (because the seller isn’t getting any money out of the deal anyway). However, the existing lender isn’t just accepting any offer. Appraisals are done and scrutinized. Lenders are not agreeing to deep discounts. Additionally, the lenders are still, in many cases, taking months to make decisions and many buyers are losing patience and withdrawing offers (and finding another house). Print This Post
In the first quarter of 2012, 79 percent of homeowners who refinanced their first-lien home mortgage either maintained about the same loan amount or lowered their principal balance by paying-in additional money at the closing table. Of these borrowers, 58 percent maintained about the same loan amount, and 21 percent of refinancing homeowners reduced their principal balance; the share of borrowers that kept about the same loan amount was the highest in the 26-year history of the analysis.
“Cash-out” borrowers, those that increased their loan balance by at least five percent, represented 21 percent of all refinance loans; the weighted average cash-out share during the 1985 to 2008 period was 50 percent. (More …) Print This Post
by Dean Hartman on April 26, 2012
- Gather your documents. Today, many people will have to produce 2 years’ complete tax returns, including W2′s, 1099′s, K1′s, and all the schedules, as well as a month’s worth of pay stubs.
- Be prepared to explain them. Deductions in your returns and your pay stubs may impact the income your lender will use to qualify you which, in turn, has a big impact on the loan you will get.
- Have a breakdown of base pay versus overtime for both your pay stubs and 2 years’ W2′s. Lenders treat overtime (and bonus income) differently than your base pay. Be prepared to explain any changes over the last few years because your loan officer will ask you about it.
- Start accumulating your bank statements. Lenders look back 3 months from when you sign your contract of sale.
- You will have to explain any and all large deposits (which are defined as deposits greater than your regular pay check) because lenders want to make sure you haven’t taken out any new loans that aren’t on your credit report.
- Avoid any significant cash deposits. However, if you did have a cash deposit, understand that the lender will have you source it (a bill of sale and DMV receipt for that motorcycle, for example).
- If you will be receiving a gift, consult your loan officer on how to document it (from the donor’s ability to how you deposit it).
- Ask your loan officer to run your credit and go over it with them. Believe it or not, most credit reports contain errors. Best to identify them and get working on correcting them as early as possible.
- Do what you can to pay down your balances to under 30% of available credit to help you get the best score possible.
- Do NOT close accounts or pay off collection accounts without discussing it with your loan officer. Either one of these logical moves can actually have a negative impact on your score.
When buying a home, remember the Boy Scout motto, “Be prepared”. Following these suggestions will make your loan approval easier and less stressful. Print This Post
by Dean Hartman on March 8, 2012
There have been a few developing (and some already existing) programs that are worth mentioning, as the newspaper headlines applaud the opportunity. With interest rates remaining at near historic lows for quite some time, many people have been unable to take advantage of these rates because of problems in securing a high enough appraised value.
To that end, here are a few thoughts to consider:
New FHA Streamline Announcement
HUD announced that they will be rolling back the insurance premiums on this program for loans closed prior to June 2009. The Upfront Premium (the one that is added into the loan amount) will be .01% and the annual premium (the one that is paid in the monthly payment) will be slashed to .55%. These cuts could reduce borrowers’ expenses drastically. This program can be done where the lender pays the closing costs – without an appraisal, income verification, or even a credit check. Most lenders will look for a good mortgage payment history.
The VA IRRL – (Interest Rate Reduction Loan)
For people with existing VA mortgages, this program allows reasonable closing costs to be added into the loan. There is no new appraisal required, nor is there an income calculation. Basically, as long as the veteran is getting a payment at least $50 lower, it is good to go. In some cases, veterans may choose to reduce the term of their loan (instead of a monthly savings). This can be done with some documents delivered to the lender.
This is a program for loans currently owned by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac wherein the house is underwater. Under this program, lenders may be able to reduce your interest rate despite your loan-to-value. Each mortgage investor is developing their own underwriting and risk criteria, but the good news is that people with good payment histories can take advantage of the great rates – even though their home has declined in value.
I gave you a very general overview of some loan products here today. There are many considerations (ex. closing costs and time you intend to stay in the home) and qualification items that will pertain to your individual circumstance. My intent was to heighten awareness and get you to reach out to your favorite mortgage professional and see if there is an opportunity for you.